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Articles Archive for March 2009

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[31 Mar 2009 | No Comment | ]
Macquarie Group Limited (MQG) Jumps 12%+ intra-day

While I don’t normally comment on daily news, the 12%+ jump in Macquarie’s share price intra-day caught my eye. MQG opened down 74 cents at 24.26 and then jumped suddenly at around 1.24pm, MQG last traded at $27.40.

It seems this takeover announcement for Macquarie Communications Infrastructure Group (MCG) sparked the rally. Cash is king and it seems investors are now seeing the king clothing. As the phrase goes, when the tide goes out we’ll see who is naked and it appears Mac has been wearing speedos after all.

Featured, Investing Insights, My Path, Philosophy »

[31 Mar 2009 | 2 Comments | ]
Portfolio Update come Investing Philosophy

To be a successful investor you must focus on money management, risk management and portfolio management. Buy to sell and look for singles not home runs.

Analysis »

[30 Mar 2009 | 2 Comments | ]
Safety Insurance Group Inc. (SAFT) Waving Not Drowing

Ten months ago I recommended SAFT. Its share price is down since then, but far from out. While I prefer absolute returns my sense of well being dictates I must look at 2008 through a relative lens. Relatively SAFT was a great performer, beating the pants off the S&P500 by 22%, SAFT is down 20% over the last ten months while the S&P500 has fallen 42%.

News »

[28 Mar 2009 | No Comment | ]
Facet Biotech Corporation (FACT) Q1 2009 Results

Facet Biotech has been on a tear, up almost 43% since I first posted. Q1 2009 results are now out and the company is in slightly better shape than I anticipated. Cash burn has been reduced, they are more focused and are progressing their oncology compounds.

News »

[27 Mar 2009 | No Comment | ]
Suntech Power’s Day in the Sun

Suntech Power Holdings Co. Ltd. (STP) closed up 44% on eight times normal volume after the Chinese mentioned the S word. Subsidies baby, subsidies!

Analysis »

[26 Mar 2009 | No Comment | ]
S&P500 Earnings Update and Sector Focus

Diving down from the S&P500 quarterly earnings into the sectors and a comparison of consumer discretionary and staples. While most short term investors are still focused on consumer discretionary’s negative 2008 Q4 and Q1 09 I recommend looking beyond those to the inevitable accelerating profitability and sensational year on year comparisions that await.

Analysis, Featured, Investing Insights »

[26 Mar 2009 | 4 Comments | ]
Sector Rotation Plus S&P Responds to Jeremy Siegel

Does sector rotation work? Plus S&P rebuts Jeremy Siegel.

Analysis, Watchlist »

[25 Mar 2009 | No Comment | ]

In today’s market I consider the valuation being afforded to QSII staggering. Investors are paying almost 32 times current operating cash flows a PEG of 1.38 and price to sales of 5.6.

Commentary, Featured »

[25 Mar 2009 | No Comment | ]
Variant Perception and Reflexivity

“To me, investing is just about finding the biggest delta between market expectations and what you think is more likely, basically Steindhart’s variant perception”

Commentary, My Path, Philosophy »

[24 Mar 2009 | No Comment | ]
Random Ramblings on Margin, Market Timing and Investing Secrets

Rambling thoughts on margin, market timing and investing secrets. All wrapped up in a transparent veneer of self indulgence.

I am a market timer. However, I am not stupid enough to think I can time it with any accuracy. I am not arrogant enough to think I can predict the bottom. So I buy. I buy most comfortably on the way down, I am getting slightly better at not buying too early, but only slightly as my WM and IMB buys attest to.