Moody’s Corp. (MCO) Musings
April 15, 2009 12:24 am by Dean Morel
We have a very small position in Moody’s Corp. (MCO), 0.8% of our US portfolio. In my continuing efforts to trim our portfolio and return to our concentrated way all small positions are under the microscope. A less than one percent position is a waste of my time. So it’s either put up or shut up, or in this case, buy more or sell.
Would I buy more Moody’s today? No. MCO is not one of my best companies and is not a great value proposition. The long term story of Moody’s is still interesting and when credit markets flourish the pent up demand for credit could see Moody’s consistently beating estimates.
- Current Price $25.46
- Earnings out 29-Apr-09 BMO, average est $0.34 with range of $0.28-0.39.
- Share price in strong uptrend since March 6 low of $15.57, but hey what’s not?
- Margins and returns are high, Moody’s are certainly a fantastic looking business.
- Great cash flow.
- Balance sheet highlights the leverage they now employ.
- S&P have a Hold and 12 month price target of $23.
- Annual dividend of $0.40 is a low yield of 1.6%
Moody’s is on my sell list. May $25 Calls, MCOEE, $2.40-2.45. Do you see it differently?
More on this topic
(What's this?)
Moody's Sued
(Skeptical CPA, 4/20/09)
Shorting Moody’s (MCO) on Rating Agency Regime Change
(College Analysts, 6/21/09)
Rating Agency PCAOB?
(Skeptical CPA, 5/14/09)
Related posts:

MCO closed up 3.01 (12.36%) today. Fortunately my calls didn’t execute the other night. Though even if they had I wouldn’t mind. Now I need to decide between selling the shares or calls or letting this winner run. Today’s rise confirms that MCO is outside my circle of competence. I have no idea why MCO would jump 12% on on SEC scrutiny of rating agencies.
The Calls are now $3.50 – 3.60.
Sold Moody’s today April 27 with limit order. Despite the continued strong up trend in MCO I decided to sell rather than implement a trailing stop or sell calls.
Earnings are out 29 April BMO. Consensus estimates are for $0.34 eps on $393.32M, respective ranges of $0.28-0.39 and $371M – 406.2M. I have no eye dear.
Leave your response!
SUBSCRIBE by RSS
or Subscribe by EmailTags
Categories
Archives
Free Spreadsheets
Speed Fusion : Twitter
Posting tweet...
Powered by Twitter Tools
Blog of the Day
Blogroll
Aus/NZ Blogroll