Articles in the Investing Insights Category
Australia »
Overview for international investors on why and how to invest in Australia via American Depository Receipts (ADRs), index funds, ETFs and direct investing.
When thinking about investing in Australia most international investors first think of mining. They may be surprised to find that “Australia’s economy is now a service-based economy, with service industries accounting for around 70 per cent of total gross value added. The finance and insurance industry is larger than the booming mining sector…”
Australia, Better Investor »
The ten best Australian business sites for news, data and opinion on Australian companies and the economy.
Investing Insights »
Investing Insights, Probability »
Using the Kelly Formula for Portfolio Management:
I have two main uses for the Kelly formula, neither of which are the intended purpose. My third and less important use is the intended purpose of Kelly, an aid in determining my indiviudal investment size.
I use Kelly as a comparitive tool and as and aid to focusing on probabilities, risk and returns. Before we dive into each of those I should explain how I use a method that is designed to be used with binary outcomes with known odds for investing, where their are multiple possible outcomes with unknown odds.
At the bottom I link some great articles from Ed Thorp, John Kelly, Michael Mauboussin and Paul Samuelson
Investing Insights »
Featured, Investing Insights, My Path, Philosophy »
Analysis, Featured, Investing Insights »
Investing Insights, Philosophy, Probability »
Someone is always left holding the bag. This is the same concept as the oft quoted patsy at the poker table.
If you invest late into trends then you have a higher probability of being that patsy.
People investing late in trends should examine if they suffer from herd mentality, confirmation bias etc. While numerous studies show momentum strategies are successful, all those strategies attempt to identify major trends early on. One of the most basis the death cross of the 50dMA crossing below the 200day shows when getting on board this …








